Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.