Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cliftonville in this match.