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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 30
Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Shamrock Park

Portadown
2 - 0
Carrick

Tilney (13'), Bonis (88')
Tilney (27'), Kerr (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Loughran (22')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Portadown and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.

Result
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
55.12%21.92%22.96%
Both teams to score 59.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77%39.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44%61.56%
Portadown Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8%14.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09%41.91%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55%30.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34%66.66%
Score Analysis
    Portadown 55.12%
    Carrick Rangers 22.96%
    Draw 21.92%
PortadownDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 8.44%
2-0 @ 8.24%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-2 @ 3.79%
4-1 @ 3.11%
4-0 @ 2.62%
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.22%
5-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 10.03%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.92%
1-2 @ 5.97%
0-1 @ 5.14%
0-2 @ 3.06%
1-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.96%

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