Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 22.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portadown would win this match.
