Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.