Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
