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Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2021 at 8.30am UK
Sapporo Dome
CN

Chile Women
1 - 2
Canada Women

Araya (57' pen.)
Pardo (18'), Lopez (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Beckie (39', 47')
Scott (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada Women win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Chile Women had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Chile Women win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Canada Women would win this match.

Result
Chile WomenDrawCanada Women
27.95%25.61%46.44%
Both teams to score 52.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87%51.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02%72.98%
Chile Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19%32.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63%69.37%
Canada Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78%22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68%55.32%
Score Analysis
    Chile Women 27.95%
    Canada Women 46.43%
    Draw 25.61%
Chile WomenDrawCanada Women
1-0 @ 8.05%
2-1 @ 6.79%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.91%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.95%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 8.27%
1-3 @ 4.65%
0-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 2.59%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.43%

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