Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 66.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Argentina Women had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Argentina Women win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
