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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2021 at 9.30am UK
Nissan Stadium

Ivory Coast U23s
2 - 1
Saudi Arabia U23s

Al Amri (39' og.), Kessie (66')
Kessie (70'), Gradel (86')
Junior Doumbia (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Al-Dawsari (44')
Al Naji (80'), Al-Faraj (90+7')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast Under-23s win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia Under-23s had a probability of 18.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Ivory Coast Under-23sDrawSaudi Arabia Under-23s
55.72%25.93%18.35%
Both teams to score 41.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49%60.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38%80.62%
Ivory Coast Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11%21.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86%55.14%
Saudi Arabia Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.61%47.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.22%82.77%
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast Under-23s 55.7%
    Saudi Arabia Under-23s 18.35%
    Draw 25.92%
Ivory Coast Under-23sDrawSaudi Arabia Under-23s
1-0 @ 15.75%
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 8.94%
3-0 @ 6.06%
3-1 @ 4.53%
4-0 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.72%
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 55.7%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 3.34%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 4.4%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.35%

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