Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for South Korea Under-23s had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest South Korea Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico Under-23s would win this match.