Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for South Africa Under-23s had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest South Africa Under-23s win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico Under-23s would win this match.