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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2021 at 9am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

N.Zealand U23s
2 - 3
Honduras U23s

Cacace (10'), Wood (49')
Waine (75'), Stamenic (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Enrique Palma Oseguera (45+1'), Carlos Obregon Jr (78'), Rivas (87')
Roberto Decas (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand Under-23s win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Honduras Under-23s had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Honduras Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand Under-23sDrawHonduras Under-23s
44.02%23.7%32.27%
Both teams to score 61.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48%40.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1%62.9%
New Zealand Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93%50.06%
Honduras Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46%24.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99%59%
Score Analysis
    New Zealand Under-23s 44.02%
    Honduras Under-23s 32.27%
    Draw 23.69%
New Zealand Under-23sDrawHonduras Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.06%
1-0 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 2.12%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.98%
0-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.25%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.27%

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