Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania Under-23s win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for New Zealand Under-23s had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Romania Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest New Zealand Under-23s win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.