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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 25, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Nissan Stadium

Saudi Arabia U23s
2 - 3
Germany U23s

Al Naji (30', 50')
Alhamddan (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Amiri (11'), Ache (43'), Uduokhai (75')
Pieper (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Germany Under-23s had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Germany Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi Arabia Under-23sDrawGermany Under-23s
46.27%22.55%31.18%
Both teams to score 65.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.58%35.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.54%57.45%
Saudi Arabia Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.17%15.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55%45%
Germany Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29%22.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63%56.37%
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia Under-23s 46.27%
    Germany Under-23s 31.18%
    Draw 22.55%
Saudi Arabia Under-23sDrawGermany Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.05%
1-0 @ 6.62%
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 3.75%
4-1 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 0.95%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 6.71%
0-0 @ 3.59%
3-3 @ 2.04%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 3.32%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.18%

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