Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Germany Under-23s had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Germany Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.