Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Pululu (79' pen.), Wdowik (86')
Olszewski (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Terpilowski (36')
Terpilowski (39'), Sanchez (58'), Marques Almeida Vieira Silva (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Widzew Lodz.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
43.21% ( -0.03) | 26.47% ( 0.04) | 30.32% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 51.15% ( -0.11) |
| 46.59% ( -0.14) | 53.41% ( 0.14) |
| 25.06% ( -0.12) | 74.94% ( 0.12) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| 75.48% ( -0.08) | 24.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.01% ( -0.11) | 58.99% ( 0.11) |
| 67.77% ( -0.08) | 32.23% ( 0.08) |
