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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
2 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Zahovic (46'), Koulouris (64')
Koutris (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pawlowski (4')
Nunes (43')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 2-5 Szczecin
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 3-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, July 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Lodz
47.72% (-0.175 -0.17) 25.07% (0.157 0.16) 27.21% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.55% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.63% (-0.646 -0.65)49.37% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (-0.585 -0.59)71.42% (0.589 0.59)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.336 -0.34)20.71% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.533 -0.53)53.33% (0.53700000000001 0.54)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)32.45% (0.32700000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.367 -0.37)68.97% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 47.72%
    Widzew Lodz 27.21%
    Draw 25.07%
Pogon SzczecinDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.33% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.72%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 27.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Linfield 2-5 Szczecin
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brondby 4-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, July 21 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KR Reykjavik 1-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 14 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Szczecin 4-1 KR Reykjavik
Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Szczecin
Thursday, July 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 3-2 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, July 23 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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