Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Korona Kielce | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
43.64% ( -0.15) | 25.86% ( 0.1) | 30.5% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.12% ( -0.4) | 50.88% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% ( -0.36) | 72.76% ( 0.36) |
Korona Kielce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.8% ( -0.25) | 23.21% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.9% ( -0.36) | 57.1% ( 0.37) |
Gornik Zabrze Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% ( -0.17) | 30.8% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% ( -0.2) | 67.07% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Korona Kielce | Draw | Gornik Zabrze |
1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.5% |
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