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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Korona Kielce |
52.07% ( -0.15) | 24.05% ( 0.11) | 23.87% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( -0.45) | 47.78% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( -0.42) | 69.97% ( 0.42) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( -0.23) | 18.33% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( -0.39) | 49.42% ( 0.39) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0.22) | 34.36% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.94% ( -0.23) | 71.06% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Korona Kielce |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 52.07% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 23.87% |
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