Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 15
Nov 11, 2023 at 7pm UK
Suzuki Arena (Kielce)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Imaz (56'), Lewicki (81')
Nene (45+3'),
Sacek (45+3'), Lewicki (85')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
45.91% ( 0.01) | 24.55% ( -0.01) | 29.54% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.03) |
| 54.3% ( 0.04) | 45.7% ( -0.04) |
| 31.98% ( 0.04) | 68.02% ( -0.04) |
| 80% ( 0.02) | 20% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.81% ( 0.03) | 52.19% ( -0.03) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| 71.16% ( 0.02) | 28.84% ( -0.02) |
