Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Makuch (10', 35')
Oshima (73'), Smiglewski (90+9')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chodyna (90+2' pen.)
Nalepa (2'), Kludka (9'), Chodyna (55'), Buric (77')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Zaglebie Lubin.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KS Cracovia would win this match.
| Result |
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin |
41.45% ( 0.13) | 27.18% ( -0.16) | 31.36% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.41% ( 0.48) |
| 44.16% ( 0.61) | 55.84% ( -0.61) |
| 23.04% ( 0.5) | 76.96% ( -0.5) |
| 73.46% ( 0.35) | 26.54% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.26% ( 0.47) | 61.74% ( -0.47) |
| 67.26% ( 0.34) | 32.74% ( -0.34) |
