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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 1
Lech Poznan

Kurminowski (41')
Pienko (45+2'), Kludka (45+4'), Dabrowski (60'), Chodyna (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blazic (76')
Milic (48'), Ishak (50'), Bednarek (54')
Murawski (50')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 29 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawLech Poznan
34.41% (-0.535 -0.53) 28.1% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 37.49% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 47.41% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.31% (-0.321 -0.32)58.69% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77% (-0.25 -0.25)79.23% (0.252 0.25)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.514 -0.51)32.11% (0.515 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.588 -0.59)68.59% (0.58999999999999 0.59)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.84% (0.12100000000001 0.12)30.16% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.143 0.14)66.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 34.41%
    Lech Poznan 37.49%
    Draw 28.09%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 34.41%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.69% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.09%
0-1 @ 11.61% (0.18 0.18)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.96% (0.131 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, July 29 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 Ruch Chorzow
Sunday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Botosani
Sunday, January 8 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 Lech Poznan
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris
Thursday, July 27 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-2 Lech Poznan
Saturday, July 22 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-3 Lech Poznan
Thursday, April 20 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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