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Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 6pm UK
Malmö Stadion

Malmo
2 - 0
Cracovia

Inge Berget (1'), Rieks (44')
Larsson (18'), Ahmedhodzic (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hanca (14'), Dimun (77')
Coverage of the Europa League First Qualifying Round clash between Malmo and KS Cracovia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.02%) and 3-0 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.13%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawKS Cracovia
62.17%27.04%10.78%
Both teams to score 25.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.59%72.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.26%88.74%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.56%24.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.13%58.86%
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.97%66.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.56%93.44%
Score Analysis
    Malmo 62.17%
    KS Cracovia 10.78%
    Draw 27.04%
MalmoDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 22.73%
2-0 @ 16.02%
3-0 @ 7.53%
2-1 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 3.12%
4-0 @ 2.65%
4-1 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 62.17%
0-0 @ 16.13%
1-1 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 6.7%
1-2 @ 1.96%
0-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 10.78%


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