SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Motor Lublin |
58.62% ( 0.07) | 23.08% ( -0.02) | 18.3% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.64% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( -0.02) | 50.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( -0.01) | 72.31% ( 0.01) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( 0.02) | 16.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.09% ( 0.03) | 46.91% ( -0.04) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.08) | 41.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% ( -0.07) | 77.98% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Motor Lublin |
| 1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 58.62% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 18.3% |
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