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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 18, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
4 - 1
Radomiak Radom

Kramer (38' pen.), Kapustka (45+3'), Gual (70' pen.), Urbanski (90')
Kramer (58'), Alves (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Capita (61')
Rossi (67'), Jakubik (67'), Raphael (68'), Urbanski (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Legia 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Gornik
Friday, August 9 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawRadomiak Radom
51.65% (0.178 0.18) 24.36% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 23.99% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)48.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.05% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (0.064000000000007 0.06)18.94% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.54% (0.109 0.11)50.46% (-0.107 -0.11)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)34.9% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (-0.146 -0.15)71.64% (0.146 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 51.65%
    Radomiak Radom 23.99%
    Draw 24.35%
Legia WarsawDrawRadomiak Radom
1-0 @ 11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.99%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Legia
Sunday, August 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Brondby 2-3 Legia
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 1-2 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, August 4 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-5 Legia
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Gornik
Friday, August 9 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-3 Jagiellonia
Saturday, July 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Katowice 1-2 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, July 20 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-3 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-0 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-2 Ruch Chorzow
Monday, May 13 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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