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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Slavutych-Arena

Motor Lublin
1 - 1
Korona Kielce

Ceglarz (81' pen.)
Mraz (3'), Stolarski (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dalmau (43')
Dziekonski (80'), Matuszewski (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawKorona Kielce
38.38% (-0.726 -0.73) 27.33% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09) 34.29% (0.811 0.81)
Both teams to score 49.72% (0.414 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.2% (0.456 0.46)55.8% (-0.461 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (0.37 0.37)76.92% (-0.375 -0.38)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)28.22% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.251 -0.25)63.92% (0.245 0.24)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27% (0.76600000000001 0.77)30.72% (-0.77 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01% (0.895 0.89)66.98% (-0.899 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 38.38%
    Korona Kielce 34.29%
    Draw 27.32%
Motor LublinDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 10.97% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.38%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.32%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.144 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 3% (0.118 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 34.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 0-2 Rakow
Sunday, July 21 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Legia
Sunday, July 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Korona Kielce
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-0 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, May 18 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Korona Kielce
Saturday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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