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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
36.6% ( -0.15) | 24.79% ( 0.21) | 38.61% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -1.02) | 44.7% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( -0.99) | 67.06% ( 0.98) |
| Radomiak Radom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.55) | 24.05% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( -0.78) | 58.32% ( 0.78) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.48) | 22.98% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% ( -0.72) | 56.78% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.61% |
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