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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
1 - 0
Radomiak Radom

Stolarski (21')
Samper (32'), Rudol (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Jordao (19'), Kaput (45'), Donis (58'), Luizao (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, November 22 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motor Lublin in this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawRadomiak Radom
47.47% (-0.494 -0.49) 24.76% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 27.77% (0.473 0.47)
Both teams to score 55.01% (0.299 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.33% (0.223 0.22)47.67% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (0.207 0.21)69.86% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)20.13% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6% (-0.19 -0.19)52.4% (0.192 0.19)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (0.476 0.48)31.13% (-0.475 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (0.552 0.55)67.45% (-0.55 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 47.47%
    Radomiak Radom 27.77%
    Draw 24.75%
Motor LublinDrawRadomiak Radom
1-0 @ 10.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 6.27% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, November 22 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-3 Motor Lublin
Friday, November 8 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 4-2 Szczecin
Saturday, November 2 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 6-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 26 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-4 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, October 19 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-1 Radomiak Radom
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, November 3 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, October 26 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Monday, October 21 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-2 Rakow
Saturday, October 5 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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