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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
31.69% ( -0.04) | 24.78% ( -0.02) | 43.53% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( 0.08) | 45.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( 0.07) | 68.1% ( -0.07) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.54% ( 0.01) | 27.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( 0.02) | 62.94% ( -0.02) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.06) | 21.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( 0.09) | 53.91% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.69% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.53% |
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