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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26
Mar 30, 2025 at 1.45pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
vs.
Stal Mielec

 
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gornik 4-0 Motor Lublin
Saturday, March 15 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-4 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, March 15 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Stal Mielec has a probability of 25.49% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win is 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.48%).

Result
Motor LublinDrawStal Mielec
50.25% (0.268 0.27) 24.25% (-0.176 -0.18) 25.49% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81% (0.684 0.68)47.19% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (0.634 0.63)69.42% (-0.63200000000001 -0.63)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (0.374 0.37)18.81% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.62 0.62)50.24% (-0.619 -0.62)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (0.29199999999999 0.29)32.66% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79% (0.327 0.33)69.21% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 50.25%
    Stal Mielec 25.49%
    Draw 24.25%
Motor LublinDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.059 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 25.49%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gornik 4-0 Motor Lublin
Saturday, March 15 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-3 Legia
Monday, March 10 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 0-1 Motor Lublin
Sunday, March 2 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-2 Katowice
Monday, February 24 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-4 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, March 15 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 3-1 Stal Mielec
Saturday, March 8 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Korona Kielce
Saturday, March 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-2 Stal Mielec
Friday, February 21 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-2 Szczecin
Sunday, February 16 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Jagiellonia
Friday, February 7 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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