SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
33.09% ( -0.09) | 25.91% ( 0.03) | 41% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( -0.13) | 50.23% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( -0.11) | 72.18% ( 0.11) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -0.12) | 28.74% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( -0.15) | 64.58% ( 0.15) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.02) | 24.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.03) | 58.57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.12% 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 41% |
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