SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Motor Lublin |
58.05% ( -0.04) | 22.88% ( 0.06) | 19.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.27) | 48.49% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( -0.25) | 70.62% ( 0.25) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.58% ( -0.11) | 16.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.92% ( -0.2) | 46.07% ( 0.19) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( -0.18) | 39.5% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( -0.17) | 76.19% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Motor Lublin |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 58.04% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.07% |
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