Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadion MOSiR ul. Narutowicza
FT(HT: 2-1)
Szmyt (20' pen.),
Vizinger (48')
Zurawski (45+8'),
Vizinger (67'), Borowski (76'), Kupczak (83'), Matuszewski (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Radomiak Radom and Warta Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomiak Radom win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomiak Radom win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Radomiak Radom would win this match.
| Result |
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Warta Poznan |
38.68% ( 0.22) | 28.61% ( 0.09) | 32.71% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 45.68% ( -0.31) |
| 39.3% ( -0.35) | 60.7% ( 0.34) |
| 19.23% ( -0.27) | 80.76% ( 0.26) |
| 69.56% ( -0.04) | 30.44% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.35% ( -0.05) | 66.65% ( 0.05) |
| 65.68% ( -0.4) | 34.32% ( 0.4) |
