Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lech Poznan | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
49.3% ( 0.27) | 25.15% ( 0.04) | 25.54% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.1% ( -0.4) | 50.89% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.22% ( -0.35) | 72.77% ( 0.35) |
Lech Poznan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.34% ( -0.05) | 20.66% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.76% ( -0.07) | 53.23% ( 0.07) |
Radomiak Radom Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.38% ( -0.48) | 34.61% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.66% ( -0.51) | 71.34% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Lech Poznan | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 49.3% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.54% |
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