Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
INEA stadion
FT(HT: 1-0)
Machado (25'), Jakubik (53')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Radomiak Radom.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 25.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Radomiak Radom |
49.3% ( 0.27) | 25.15% ( 0.04) | 25.54% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.41) |
| 49.1% ( -0.4) | 50.89% ( 0.4) |
| 27.22% ( -0.35) | 72.77% ( 0.35) |
| 79.34% ( -0.05) | 20.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.76% ( -0.07) | 53.23% ( 0.07) |
| 65.38% ( -0.48) | 34.61% ( 0.48) |
