Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.3) 
