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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 7, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Lodz

Widzew Lodz
2 - 1
Stal Mielec

Cybulski (22'), Rondic (85')
Guillaumier (72'), Matras (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wlazlo (40' pen.)
Shehu (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Widzew Lodz and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-3 Rakow
Saturday, November 30 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-2 Legia
Sunday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.

Result
Widzew LodzDrawStal Mielec
47.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 24.77% (-0.117 -0.12) 28.09% (0.115 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.2% (0.474 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (0.58199999999999 0.58)47.52% (-0.581 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (0.538 0.54)69.73% (-0.536 -0.54)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.236 0.24)20.22% (-0.236 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.378 0.38)52.54% (-0.378 -0.38)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (0.39099999999999 0.39)30.81% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (0.457 0.46)67.09% (-0.45400000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Widzew Lodz 47.14%
    Stal Mielec 28.09%
    Draw 24.77%
Widzew LodzDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 9.96% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.14%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-3 Rakow
Saturday, November 30 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0 Widzew Lodz
Monday, November 25 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, November 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, November 3 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-2 Gornik
Sunday, October 27 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-4 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, October 19 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-2 Legia
Sunday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, November 10 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, November 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Stal Mielec
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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