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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
2 - 2
Legia

Wlazlo (28' pen.), Wolsztynski (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morishita (12'), Augustyniak (63' pen.)
Urbanski (2'), Gual (57')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Omonia 0-3 Legia
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawLegia Warsaw
29.94% (-0.061 -0.06) 26.44% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 43.63% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.55% (-0.179 -0.18)53.45% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.148 -0.15)74.98% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.48% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)32.52% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.95% (-0.153 -0.15)69.05% (0.157 0.16)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)24.34% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)58.73% (0.098999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 29.94%
    Legia Warsaw 43.62%
    Draw 26.43%
Stal MielecDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.94%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 43.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec
Sunday, November 24 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, November 10 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, November 2 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, October 27 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Stal Mielec
Wednesday, October 23 at 5.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 3-1 Stal Mielec
Sunday, October 20 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Omonia 0-3 Legia
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Conference League
Last Game: Legia 3-2 Cracovia
Saturday, November 23 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-2 Legia
Sunday, November 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 4-0 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Legia 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, November 3 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 4-1 Katowice
Sunday, October 27 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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