Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
