Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 70.03%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 15.23% and a draw had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 4-1 (5.88%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 1-2 (3.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.