SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 70.03%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 15.23% and a draw had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 4-1 (5.88%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 1-2 (3.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Arsenal Under-23s |
| 70.03% | 14.74% | 15.23% |
| Both teams to score 73.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.74% | 16.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 67.43% | 32.57% |
| Manchester City Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.58% | 4.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 81.79% | 18.21% |
| Arsenal Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.63% | 56.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-23s | Draw | Arsenal Under-23s |
| 3-1 @ 7.54% 2-1 @ 7.24% 4-1 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 5.59% 3-0 @ 5.08% 2-0 @ 4.89% 4-2 @ 4.36% 4-0 @ 3.97% 5-1 @ 3.67% 1-0 @ 3.13% 5-2 @ 2.72% 5-0 @ 2.48% 4-3 @ 2.15% 6-1 @ 1.91% 6-2 @ 1.42% 5-3 @ 1.34% 6-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 5.39% Total : 70.03% | 2-2 @ 5.37% 1-1 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 2.76% 0-0 @ 1% Other @ 0.97% Total : 14.74% | 1-2 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.65% 1-3 @ 1.7% 0-1 @ 1.49% 0-2 @ 1.1% 3-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.84% Total : 15.23% |
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