Man City U23s
1 - 0
Derby U23s

Mcatee (10')
Mbete-Tatu (58'), Charles (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hutchinson (16'), Dixon (63'), Thompson (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 58.4%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 21.56% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
58.4%	20.04%	21.56%

Both teams to score 64.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.11%

31.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.56%

53.44%

Manchester City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.12%

10.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.99%

35.01%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52%

27.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03%

62.97%

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-23s 58.4%

Derby County Under-23s 21.56%

Draw 20.04%

Manchester City Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 7.03% 1-0 @ 6.63% 3-0 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 4.54% 4-1 @ 3.9% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 2.52% 5-1 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-2 @ 1.12% 4-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.2% Total : 58.4%	1-1 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.04%	1-2 @ 5.53% 0-1 @ 3.86% 2-3 @ 2.64% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.58% Total : 21.56%