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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
55.36% ( 1.39) | 19.5% ( -0.31) | 25.14% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 71.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.48) | 24.86% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.63) | 44.74% ( -0.63) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% ( 0.49) | 9.43% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.3% ( 1.15) | 31.7% ( -1.15) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.4) | 20.84% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( -0.63) | 53.52% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Leeds United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.12)4-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.09)Other @ 4.4% Total : 55.36% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.5% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.09)0-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.14% |
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