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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
13.88% ( -0.15) | 15.03% ( -0.1) | 71.08% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 68.49% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.24% ( 0.16) | 20.76% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.83% ( 0.23) | 39.17% ( -0.23) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0.06) | 27.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( -0.07) | 63.22% ( 0.07) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.69% ( 0.08) | 5.31% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.1% ( 0.22) | 20.9% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 13.88% | 1-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.19% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.03% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 5.11% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.55% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-6 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)2-6 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)3-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.99% Total : 71.08% |
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