Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 56.89%. A win for Liverpool Under-23s had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Liverpool Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.