Arsenal U23s
3 - 5
Derby U23s

Balogun (10', 23', 72')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sibley (3', 56'), Alebiousu (32' og.), Plange (49'), Dixon (54')
Dixon (65')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Derby County Under-23s win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
61.91%	19.17%	18.92%

Both teams to score 63.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.4%

31.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.91%

53.09%

Arsenal Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.09%

9.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.18%

32.81%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33%

29.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28%

65.72%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-23s 61.91%

Derby County Under-23s 18.92%

Draw 19.17%

Arsenal Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 7.36% 1-0 @ 6.8% 3-0 @ 6.05% 3-2 @ 4.47% 4-1 @ 4.25% 4-0 @ 3.5% 4-2 @ 2.58% 5-1 @ 1.97% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.68% Total : 61.91%	1-1 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.17%	1-2 @ 5.02% 0-1 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-2 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.78% Total : 18.92%