Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.67%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
54.68% ( -0.12) | 20.59% ( 0.04) | 24.72% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 66.88% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.22% ( -0.12) | 30.77% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.88% ( -0.14) | 52.12% ( 0.15) |
Everton Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.48% ( -0.07) | 11.51% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.6% ( -0.16) | 36.4% ( 0.16) |
Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.58% ( -0.01) | 24.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.16% ( -0.01) | 58.83% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Everton Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.59% | 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 24.72% |
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