Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 44.28%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 3-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
44.28% ( -0.08) | 20.23% ( -0.01) | 35.48% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 76.06% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.01% ( 0.06) | 21.98% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.12% ( 0.09) | 40.87% ( -0.1) |
Everton Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.69% ( 0) | 11.3% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.05% ( 0.01) | 35.94% ( -0.02) |
Southampton Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% ( 0.06) | 14.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.98% ( 0.12) | 42.01% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Everton Under-21s | Draw | Southampton Under-21s |
2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 4.24% Total : 44.28% | 2-2 @ 7.27% 1-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 4-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 35.48% |
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