SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.19%) and 3-2 (4.79%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
41.89% ( -0.15) | 21.19% ( 0.06) | 36.92% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 72.51% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.28) | 26.58% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.05% ( -0.36) | 46.95% ( 0.36) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% ( -0.16) | 13.91% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.66% ( -0.33) | 41.34% ( 0.33) |
| Norwich City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( -0.09) | 15.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.09% ( -0.16) | 44.91% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Norwich City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.93% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.83% Total : 36.92% |
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