SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.83%) and 3-2 (5.1%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
47.11% ( -0) | 20.71% ( 0) | 32.18% |
| Both teams to score 72.79% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.37% ( -0.02) | 25.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.26% ( -0.02) | 45.74% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.13% ( -0.01) | 11.86% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.84% ( -0.02) | 37.16% ( 0.02) |
| Stoke City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.01) | 17.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% ( -0.02) | 47.85% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Stoke City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% 3-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.78% 4-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.92% 0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.71% 3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 3.91% Total : 32.18% |
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