Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-23s win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-23s would win this match.
