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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
28.25% ( 0.19) | 22.15% ( 0) | 49.6% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 64.53% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( 0.13) | 35.29% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( 0.14) | 57.31% ( -0.15) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 0.19) | 24.43% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.14% ( 0.27) | 58.86% ( -0.28) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( -0.02) | 14.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.28% ( -0.03) | 42.72% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.6% |
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