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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
64.23% ( 6.81) | 19.47% ( -2.24) | 16.29% ( -4.58) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.02% ( 2.89) | 37.97% ( -2.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.77% ( 3.02) | 60.23% ( -3.04) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.82% ( 2.84) | 11.17% ( -2.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.33% ( 5.9) | 35.66% ( -5.91) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( -3.19) | 36.43% ( 3.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( -3.36) | 73.22% ( 3.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.78)1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.72)3-0 @ 7.14% ( 1.25)4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.77)4-0 @ 3.91% ( 1.02)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.48)5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.58)Other @ 4.36% Total : 64.23% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( -1.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.47)0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.59)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.47% | 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -1.01) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( -1.02)0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.75)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.51)Other @ 2.35% Total : 16.29% |
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