Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.11%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
29.05% ( 0.09) | 21.31% ( -0.05) | 49.64% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 68.39% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.49% ( 0.29) | 30.51% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.19% ( 0.35) | 51.8% ( -0.35) |
Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.5% ( 0.2) | 21.5% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.45% ( 0.31) | 54.54% ( -0.31) |
Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( 0.09) | 12.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.72% ( 0.19) | 39.27% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.05% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 49.64% |
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